The pieces below are not market calls or predictions. They are reference write-ups on the mechanics — the kind of material I wished existed when I first tried to make sense of these markets, and the kind I now use as scaffolding in daily research notes for institutional clients.
Why the Treasury’s checking account at the Fed is one of the most underappreciated drivers of bank reserves, money-market plumbing, and risk-asset performance — and the channel through which refunding announcements move the S&P 500.
Read the explainer →A working guide to tri-party repo, the Fed’s reverse repo facility (RRP), SOFR vs. IORB spreads, and the conditions under which collateral scarcity, dealer balance sheets, and equity multiples become a single story.
Read the explainer →What a cross-currency basis swap actually is, why it persistently runs negative for JPY and EUR borrowers of dollars, and how to read the 5-year basis as an early-warning gauge for global dollar shortages and equity drawdowns.
Read the explainer →